Sunday, November 17, 2024

Links - 16th November 2024 (2 - Justin Trudeau)

Trudeau resignation would be in Canada’s best interest: Liberal MP - "Liberal MP Sean Casey says he thinks it is in the nation’s best interest for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to step down in order to avoid a Conservative government led by Pierre Poilievre... Casey confirmed he is one of up to 30 Liberal MPs who have signed on to an internal document calling on Trudeau to step aside... Last week saw four more cabinet ministers tell Trudeau they won’t run for re-election, adding to a growing cabinet exodus and other MP resignations this year... he has not directly heard that any of his colleagues oppose the idea."

Geoff Russ: Trudeau's DEI foreign policy a laughable failure - "Canada has tolerated the presence of the Sikh separatist Khalistani movement in our cities for decades. The Khalistani movement is a shell of its former self within India, and like so many other diasporas in Canada, extremism is far more prevalent abroad than it is in the motherland. There is no excuse for Canada allowing the Khalistani’s to organize and operate with impunity here. While not every Khalistani sympathizer has committed violent crime for the cause, the movement has been rife with terrorism since its inception. Under no circumstances should Canada allow itself become a staging ground or front for foreign conflicts and insurgencies that we have no stake in... Canada’s goals regarding relations with India should be first and foremost about business, not trying to flex the myth of Canadian soft power. As for China, Global Affairs still describes its mission in Beijing as being rooted in “respect for diversity” and “international norms and values,” as if the Chinese Communist Party has demonstrated it cares for either. These differences make some of Justin Trudeau’s previous attempts to improve cultural relations appear that much more ridiculous. During his 2018 visit to India, Trudeau put on costumes that Indian observers said were badly overwrought, an awkward attempt at Bhangra dancing that was so hideous, he seems to have retired his moves permanently. The Trudeau foreign policy doctrine has always emphasized issues that go beyond simply trade. His government has very plainly stated their wish to spread progressive values abroad, under labels like the “Feminist International Assistance Policy” intended to help ensure Papuans and Djiboutians can get abortions and fight climate change... Exporting these values via foreign aid is a strategy sprouted from the same tree as George W. Bush era neoconservatives, who also believed in spreading liberal democracy with Abrams tanks and stealth bombers. At least the neocons were able to achieve regime change, disastrous as it was. There doesn’t appear to be any evidence that spreading Liberal Party values abroad has resulted in a more safe or democratic world... Parading as such has been expensive for Canadian taxpayers. For example, almost $500 million has been given to Haiti since 2022 as part of the Trudeau doctrine. The Caribbean country is a complete disaster and a failed state, with no elected officials to speak of, and machete-wielding militias lording over the streets. Funneling hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars into the country prior to its political collapse in May only delayed the inevitable."

Justin Trudeau among Canada's best — and worst — PMs: survey - "Since we started tracking this question, the proportion of Canadians who think Justin Trudeau is the worst recent prime minister has grown every year, from 18 per cent in 2020, to 22 per cent in 2021, to 29 per cent in 2022, to 30 per cent in 2023 and to 38 per cent this year. The perceptions of middle-aged Canadians help illustrate the gravity of the situation. In 2020, Canadians aged 35-54 were more likely to select Harper as the worst recent prime minister (25 per cent) than Justin Trudeau (21 per cent). Since then, Harper has shed 14 points (11 per cent) and Trudeau has gained 24 points (45 per cent)."

No ‘time to waste’: Jean Chrétien's former right-hand man asks Justin Trudeau to step down - "Eddie Goldenberg, who was Chrétien’s right-hand man for decades and served as chief of staff and senior policy advisor during his years in power, penned a piece called “Justin Trudeau’s Obligation to Canada” on Friday in which he argues that an undefeated Trudeau could be more useful in leading the fight against separatists in Quebec... Goldenberg’s call for action is coming at a time when dozens of inside voices in the Liberal caucus are calling for Trudeau to resign... It is not the first time that someone in Chrétien’s entourage has called on Trudeau to step down. Last year, Prince Edward Island Senator Percy Downe, who served as Chrétien’s chief of staff before Goldenberg, wrote his own opinion piece calling on Trudeau to resign and to let another leader safeguard the party’s policies and bring the Liberals back to the centre."

Pierre Poilievre | Facebook - "Trudeau says he is censoring the internet to stop conspiracy theories and disinformation. This week, Trudeau MP Mark Gerretsen had to apologize for spreading a false and defamatory conspiracy theory about a Canadian woman. The best way for NDP Liberals to combat false conspiracy theories is to stop spreading them."

John Ivison: Seeds for a Liberal revolt against Trudeau were planted long ago - "Even in Trudeau’s honeymoon period after the 2015 election victory, there was grumbling in the Liberal ranks. New Brunswick MP Wayne Long, for example, voted against his government’s small business tax in 2017, long before he called for the prime minister to resign this year . Back then, there was a feeling that Trudeau had single-handedly resurrected the Liberal party, politically and financially, and he would remain leader for as long as he wanted. That spell was broken by the SNC-Lavalin affair in early 2019, when Trudeau presided over a mess that saw him lose two ministers (Jody Wilson Raybould and Jane Philpott), his most trusted adviser (Gerald Butts), the country’s most senior public servant (Michael Wernick), his reputation for probity and his party’s lead in the polls. From that point on, the Liberals have leaked support, and discontent in the caucus has grown. The charge, even among many of his own MPs, is that he abandoned the rising anxiety of “the middle class, and those seeking to join it” to focus on identity politics. When I wrote my book on Trudeau in 2019 , Liberal MPs complained then about the “relentless attempt to woo left-of-centre voters … (even though) we’re the party of the middle.” Trudeau had promised to forge consensus and bridge partisan divides; his autobiography was even titled: Common Ground. Yet he found there was political advantage to be gained in targeting anyone deemed privileged. Another Liberal MP at the time scoffed at the idea that the previous Harper Conservative government was more guilty of playing the politics of division. “That’s nonsense. We’re more polarizing than they ever were. I don’t think that’s sunk in yet. I don’t think Justin intuits that — or if he does, he thinks it’s worth the gamble and thinks he can win with that kind of polarization,” the MP said. The SNC affair ended Trudeau’s aura of infallibility and disturbed what John Stuart Mill once called “the deep slumber of decided opinion.” One Liberal MP said that the disappointment in caucus was palpable. “This was a crisis and Trudeau was found wanting,” he said. “The caucus is united in a desire to get re-elected. It is not necessarily united in a desire to get re-elected behind him.”... The immediate danger to Trudeau is probably past, but it will bubble up again if he persists with his messianic belief that success will be achieved by “ doubling down on the things we know are going to get us to better , which is more protection of the environment, more inclusion of people,” as he recently declared. All the data suggest voters want change, not more of the same — starting with a switch at the very top... Yet there are no signs that Trudeau is prepared to listen to his backbench. Unlike the Conservatives, who adopted Michael Chong’s Reform Act, the Liberals voted down the proposal that allows 20 per cent of the caucus to call for a leadership review. Just as the Sun King believed he ruled by divine right, the leader of the modern Liberal party enjoys an age of centralized absolutism that is built to resist change."

ANALYSIS: The Liberal revolt is about Trudeau, communications, and the carbon tax - "Liberal MPs were told at that 2022 caucus that there was a plan to turn things around. They were told the same thing when they met last month in Nanaimo, B.C., for this year’s summer caucus retreat. Indeed, applause could be heard from the closed-door meeting in the room at the conference centre in downtown Nanaimo when Trudeau’s director of strategic communications, Max Valiquette, presented his marketing plan for the months ahead. Now many of those MPs complain that nothing was done after the St. Andrews meetings. And nothing has been done since Nanaimo. The complainers say there has been no promised communications campaign, no change in policies, and no change in the way the PM and his senior aides interact with caucus. Conservative campaigner Cole Hogan, a principal at gt&co, tracks the amount of money each party spends on Facebook advertising, figures which Facebook itself discloses about all political parties. For the week ending Oct. 5, the Conservatives spent $114,569 on Facebook ads compared to $3,086 by the Liberals and $1,240 by the NDP... while Liberal MPs were promised some sort of marketing campaign to boost their fortunes, the Conservatives produced slick TV ads that aired on legacy television networks. The Liberal response? Trudeau did a podcast with one of his own backbenchers and made an appearance on a U.S. late-night TV show... Those who want a leadership change tend to be ‘blue’ Liberals, the kind who might have supported Paul Martin or John Manley in ancient leadership races. Some believe someone like François-Philippe Champagne, who represents Jean Chrétien’s old Shawinigan riding and serves as Trudeau’s minister for innovation, science and industry, would immediately improve the Liberals’ fortunes if he were leader. It’s not just leaders that need to change, say some of the complainers, it’s time also to abandon some cherished policies including the carbon tax... several progressive-minded politicians across the country have already decided that it is impossible to campaign and win on a federal carbon price. New Democrat premiers Wab Kinew in Manitoba and David Eby in B.C. have called on the feds to scrap the carbon tax. Saskatchewan NDP Leader Carla Beck is campaigning in the provincial election underway in her province against a carbon tax. And federal NDP Jagmeet Singh, too, is now wavering on the principle of pricing carbon. In New Brunswick Liberal leader Susan Holt has also called on Ottawa to cancel any hikes in the carbon tax. Now, there are members of Trudeau’s own caucus — largely MPs from English-speaking Canada — who think it’s time to do what Polievre’s Conservatives have been constantly calling for and “Axe the Tax.”... one of those MPs seeking a leadership change said part of the problem is that there is almost no one seeking a revolt who will say so when the TV cameras are pointed at them. Someone, this MP said, needs to either hold a press conference or organize a sustained “storm the microphone” campaign at the next Liberal caucus meeting which, given the ‘break week’ ahead, is not likely to occur until Oct. 23... MPs who spoke to Global News said Trudeau is now on the verge of losing the support of the Ontario and Quebec caucuses. As MPs from those two provinces knock on doors soliciting support, they say that they get positive reviews about the work the government has done (spurred on by Jagmeet Singh’s NDP) on national pharmacare and national dental care but any support Liberals might earn on those policies evaporates when it comes to the leader. “He’s not just unpopular,” one Liberal said. “He is strongly disliked.”"

Why Liberal backbenchers are revolting over the carbon tax - "The nine-year tenure of the Trudeau government has featured remarkably few MPs publicly breaking with the government line. This is a distinct contrast from earlier Liberal governments. Even before Prime Minister Jean Chrétien was ultimately shown the door by a low-level caucus revolt, he oversaw MPs who frequently broke with him on everything from criminal justice to abortion. When any visible dissension has shown itself among members of the Trudeau government, it’s usually been answered with near-immediate consequences. Most recently, Quebec Liberal MP Anthony Housefather was cycled out of his job as a parliamentary secretary soon after being the sole dissenting voice on a Liberal update to the Officials Languages Act."

Tasha Kheiriddin: Liberals play diaspora politics to hide their failure to address foreign interference - "On the surface, they provide a great distraction from the weekend’s attempted internal coup on the prime minister. The story of a revolt among Liberal MPs , thirty of which apparently signed a letter asking the PM to quit, hit the news cycle on Saturday. Then, presto: on Monday, the RCMP dropped its bombshell, allowing the PM to take to the airwaves and sound all grave and solemn and prime-minister like, defending Canadian sovereignty. Hmm. But that would be too obvious. So let’s look at what else is going on in Ottawa, namely the Hogue Commission on Foreign interference. On Friday, the Commission heard from Public Safety Minister Bill Blair that his office sat for 54 days on a warrant to investigate Ontario Liberal MPP Michael Chan, accused of doing China’s bidding in Canada. Blair offered “no explanation” for the delay, and neither did his chief of staff. Three days later, boom: India stands accused of being the major agent of transnational repression in Canada. China, who? And the focus switches from the Liberal government’s failings to the murderous machinations of New Delhi. And here’s the kicker: who is responsible for ensuring that the RCMP is “effective, accountable and addresses the government’s priorities?” You guessed it: Bill Blair, the minister of public safety... I’m not saying India isn’t engaged in transnational repression, but the timing of this exposure is highly convenient for both the minister and the government. It’s also highly convenient for China, which relishes any chance to bash India, its chief rival for dominance of the Indo Pacific."

Why is Justin Trudeau so unpopular? - "back in the spring of 2023, we wanted to know whether Trudeau’s unpopularity was more rampant among male voters.  “Yes,” was the answer back then. Today, that gender disparity has mostly disappeared. “Men and women now feel pretty much the same about Trudeau,” Abacus CEO David Coletto says (and he doesn’t mean this in a good way)...   The top two reasons cited for negative impressions of Trudeau were disappointment in what he’s done, with 59 per cent calling that the top reason, and his management of the federal budget, with 55 per cent saying that was the major reason they didn’t hold Trudeau in high esteem.  “I think the biggest takeaway is that this may not be as personal as we assume,” Coletto said... Abacus offered respondents a choice of 11 ways to describe why they were rating Trudeau so negatively. On top of the ones already cited, they included his foreign, social and climate policies, a sense that he’s “out of touch,” or the regard in which he is held by other world leaders."

‘Emboldened’ Trudeau heads into Liberal caucus retreat - "Trudeau believes he is the solution.  In public and in private, Trudeau has expressed his determination to stay at the helm of his party through to the next election.  And he believes he now has most of his caucus behind him... the death of the NDP co-operation deal doesn’t bother the prime minister or many of those around him.  If anything, after his summer listening tour, Trudeau is, surprisingly, “more emboldened,” said one Liberal...   Trudeau, several said, is deeply concerned about the rise of a right-wing populism that threatens Canadian social programs and cohesion. He sees Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre as an agent of that.  Some said Trudeau believes he must stay on to counter Poilievre, even in the face of polls showing he is leading the Liberal party to likely disaster.  “He’s not getting the message. He thinks he’s the only one who can fight for the progressive agenda in Canada against the big, evil Conservatives,” said one...   Trudeau also thinks that most of the negative spin about his leadership comes from “groupthink” in the Ottawa press gallery.  That there is an unending stream of negative stories is certainly true, because there is a seemingly endless stream of polls documenting the mood of Canadians... A clear sign that Trudeau’s public relations and security staff worried he would encounter protesters were Trudeau’s carefully sanitized public itineraries. Early in the summer, his office stopped issuing timely public notices of where the prime minister would be, sometimes concealing Trudeau’s whereabouts until after an event was over.  And there was one telling, unscripted moment in Trudeau’s summer travels.  In Sault Ste-Marie, a steelworker declined to shake Trudeau’s hand, complained about taxes, the lack of a family doctor, the cost of dental care and about the “lazy neighbour” who doesn’t work but lives the same life he, the ordinary worker, does.  Trudeau engaged the man and quickly tried to talk his way out of the awkward encounter, but the worker wanted no part of it and looked forward to Trudeau not being around “in another year.”... So will Trudeau offer a major course correction — say, on the Middle East, the economic direction of the country, or the carbon pricing regime that has caused him endless political headaches? Don’t expect that, said several.  Trudeau plans to stay on the same track, even if the prospect of a federal election before October 2025 suddenly looms large. Certainly, Trudeau’s favourite catchphrase is, “We will continue to …”"

‘He’s not getting the message’: Justin Trudeau shrugs off the naysayers as he heads into a Liberal caucus retreat : r/canada - "So in a nutshell: These people appear to believe that those who oppose them are literally evil, that the negativity around them and their governance is driven by the Ottawa Press Gallery, and that they don’t need to do anything different except improve their messaging and do even more of the things that cause people to hate them. Yet at the same time, they also understand the need to insulate Trudeau from the very people he seeks to lead again because they know full well he’d have endless encounters like the one in Sault Ste. Marie.  This is a galactic level of self-delusion, just a total reality distortion field surrounding him and everyone around him. It’s not going to end well.  And it would also be nice if we could stop portraying our political opponents in this country as evil. We might disagree with them or their policies, but I think we all understand that they are doing what they think (erroneously, on Trudeau’s part) are what’s best for Canada.  I cannot wait for this gasbag to receive the absolute shit-kicking at the polls he’s going to, if only so I never have to watch that smug face of his deliver yet another lie or any more gaslighting."
"This is what he's been doing his entire time as PM. He's used divisive politics about everything, his way is the only way forward and if you don't follow it you're a nazi/racist/right wing/etc."
"He's been pushing the Post-Nation State narrative since he became PM. Now he's suddenly concerned about 'cohesion? Even Sophie got tired of his shit."
"Judging by the comments of die hard Trudeau supporters this is exactly what they think. They victimized themselves so much they believe every single criticism is an act of right wing propaganda.  For the last 9 years they have laughed at Maga people yelling about fake news. But at the same time we can see them in every single thread in this sub yelling about alt right American propaganda.  Oh how the tables have turned."
"The guy’s been surrounded by sycophants literally his entire life, he was groomed for the Liberal leadership position because of his last name and not because of his pedigree as a leader. It’s probably very difficult to swallow the fact that life outside the yes men bubble is not sunshine and rainbows."

‘He’s not getting the message’: Justin Trudeau shrugs off the naysayers as he heads into a Liberal caucus retreat : r/canada - "The LPC divisive politics are incredible frustrating. Between his government and his supporters (particularly online), they drag American politics into Canadian ones constantly, and then turn around and say their opponents are doing it.   It’s gaslighting at its finest and for me was one of the earliest signs that they are full of shit."
‘He’s not getting the message’: Justin Trudeau shrugs off the naysayers as he heads into a Liberal caucus retreat : r/canada - "I freaking hate how he fear mongers people by saying the conservatives will remove abortion rights and the left just eats it up"
"Look south. The Democrats are trying to tell people to fear a DT presidency even though he was the President 4 years ago.... and they still have democracy.  People eat shit up all the time"
"the SCoC decided abortion was constitutional in 1989, no party can circumvent that with a law. It’s unbelievable how much you guys lie."
‘He’s not getting the message’: Justin Trudeau shrugs off the naysayers as he heads into a Liberal caucus retreat : r/canada - "This put into words something I've been thinking for a long time but had trouble articulating. They think entirely in terms of intentions rather than outcomes and then conflate any criticism of the outcome with a criticism of the intention, meaning you are an immoral and selfish person who's opinion can be discarded.  Meanwhile more and more of our tax dollars are thrown at bloated, ineffective programs that do nothing for the majority of Canadian as the value of our labour and buying power continue to shrink."

Alex Zoltan on X - "TRUDEAU: "A mosque was vandalized and we will call out Islamophobia as unacceptable every chance we get."
ALSO TRUDEAU: "Burning down a Catholic church is fully understandable.""

Meme - *Two-fAaced Justin Trudeau*
One face: "No government, politician, or man should tell a woman what she can and cannot do with her body."
Other face: If you choose to be unvaxxed you are a racist misogynist."

Meme - "Under Stephen Harper, Canada's middle class was considered the "richest in the world," richer than in the United States. SOURCE: Global News, April 22, 2014
After eight years of Trudeau Liberal "leadership," half of Canada's provinces are poorer than West Virginia. SOURCES: Statistics Canada; US Bureau of Economic Analysis"

Liberals' 2 billion trees promise 'overrated': Report - "Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s promise to plant 2 billion trees across the country to offset increased carbon emissions won’t have an impact on fighting climate change, according to a report. A spring bulletin from the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society says the program was “overrated,” according to Blacklock’s Reporter... Promised during the last election campaign, the Liberals proposed the planting of 2 billion trees within a decade. However, the program is behind schedule, according to a government note entitled, “Two Billion Trees Questions And Answers.”"

Jake Fuss: Ignore the Trudeau talking points—Canada is a highly indebted country - "The Trudeau government has claimed that Canada “continues to have an enviable fiscal and debt position relative to international peers” because we have the lowest net debt-to-GDP ratio in the G7. But this is misleading. In reality, Canada is actually a highly indebted country relative to our international peers.  The government’s claim originates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which notes that Canada has the lowest level of net debt (as a share of its economy) among G7 countries including Germany, Italy, Japan, France, the United Kingdom, and the United States. But this specific measure of debt subtracts financial assets from total government debt.  Here’s why that’s a problem.  Again, when calculating net debt, you subtract financial assets because you assume those assets could be used to offset debt. The glaring problem here is that Canada’s financial assets include the assets of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and the Quebec Pension Plan (QPP)... the assets of the CPP and the QPP are used for payments to existing and future retirees and can’t be used to offset government debt without compromising the ability of the CPP and the QPP to provide benefits to retirees. So, Canada having the lowest net debt-to-GDP in the G7 doesn’t mean much when the CPP and the QPP assets are incorrectly used to make us look less indebted than we actually are.  Thankfully, there’s a much more accurate way to measure of Canada’s indebtedness—gross debt to GDP. Gross debt, according to the IMF, includes all “liabilities that require future payment of interest and/or principal by the debtor to the creditor.” And extending the analysis to include a broader group of advanced countries provides a more accurate assessment of Canada’s comparative indebtedness.  According to a new study, among 32 industrialized countries, Canada slides from the fifth-lowest debt ranking when net debt is measured to 26th when gross debt is used. Further, Canada’s gross debt exceeds the total size of the national economy by nearly 5 percentage points. In other words, Canada falls 21 positions in international rankings after switching from net debt to gross debt, the largest change by far of any country.  The consequences of fiscal imprudence are clear. Just like households, governments must pay interest on debt. In 2024, Canada’s federal debt interest costs are expected to eclipse $54.0 billion—equal to the entire amount of revenue the government collects from the Goods and Services Tax (GST).  And debt must be repaid by future generations of Canadians through tax increases or reduction in services.   When the Trudeau government claims that Canada is in an enviable position relative to our peers on government indebtedness, it is misleading Canadians. The data clearly show that Canada is among the most indebted advanced economies in the world. That’s not something to boast about."

For Trudeau, redistribution politics means something different now than it did nine years ago - "The younger Trudeau’s election victory in 2015 can in part be attributed to an agenda built around narrowing the income divide and redistributing resources from the wealthiest to the middle class. As a result of that election, Canada’s top earners pay a marginal income tax rate of as high as 55 per cent, among the highest in the world.  In their budget earlier this year, the Liberals sought to bolster their waning political fortunes by going back to their 2015 political playbook with new capital gains taxes they framed as taking from the wealthy to finance social programs for everyone else. The move fell flat.  Polls are mixed on the popularity of the specific measure, but the tax increase hasn’t captured the electorate’s imagination and certainty hasn’t changed the political trajectory for the Liberals.  In a poll by Abacus Data for the Toronto Star released this week, the government’s budget management was cited as the second highest reason for negative impressions of Trudeau.  The failure of the capital gains tax to resonate positively reflects how redistribution politics means something different today than it did nine years ago.  In a world of inflation and high interest rates and high unemployment, getting the macroeconomic policy right means more to the “have-nots” than how much taxes are being paid by the rich... The deterioration of the macroeconomic environment over the past three years has been a major burden on low-income households and young families. Rising unemployment will add to those woes. Taxing the rich won’t change that."

blog comments powered by Disqus